Lockdown Analysis

On 24 March 2020, the Government of India under Prime Minister Narendra Modi ordered a nationwide lockdown for 21 days, limiting movement of the entire 1.3 billion population of India as a preventive measure against the COVID-19 pandemic in India.It was ordered after a 14-hour voluntary public curfew on 22 March, followed by enforcement of a series of regulations in the country's COVID-19 affected regions. The lockdown was placed when the number of confirmed positive coronavirus cases in India was approximately 500

Lockdown Phases

Phase 1: Lockdown 1.0 - 25 March 2020 – 14 April 2020 (21 days)

Phase 2: Lockdown 2.0 - 15 April 2020 – 3 May 2020 (19 days)

Phase 3: Lockdown 3.0 - 4 May 2020 – 17 May 2020 (14 days)

Phase 4: Lockdown 4.0 - 18 May 2020 – 31 May 2020 (14 days)

Phase 5: Unlock 1.0 - 1 June 2020 – 30 June 2020 (30 days)

Phase 6: Unlock 2.0 - 1 July 2020 – 31 July 2020 (31 days)

Phase 7: Unlock 3.0 - 1 Aug 2020 – 31 Aug 2020 (31 days)

Phase 8: Unlock 4.0 - 1 Sep 2020 – 30 Sep 2020 (30 days)

Phase 9: Unlock 5.0 - 1 Oct 2020 – 30 Oct 2020 (30 days)

Doubling time is time it takes for a desease to double in current size/value

Doubling Days

Insights

Good

  • Testing - Increase in Number of tests and thereby increasing Tests/Million
  • Steady Increase in Recovery rate
  • Decrease in Death rate
  • Growth factor in declining trend

Bad

  • Increase in number of confirmed cases which can overwhelme healthcare infrastucture
  • Deaths
  • Doubling rate is continuously increasing since March 1,2020

Absolute Comparison

The table below lists out the Confirmedcases, Recovered, Deceased and Totaltests across all lockdowns
Description :

  • ConfimedCases - Number of confirmed cases in the particular lockdown
  • Recovered - Number of people recovered in the particular lockdown
  • Deceased - Number of people dead in the particular lockdown
  • TotalTests - Number of Tests conducted in the particular lockdown

All the values are calculated by finding the differnce between start date and end date of lockdown


Since the number of days in lockdowns are not consistant hence lets calculate on per day basis


Percentage Comparison

The table below lists out the Tests/Million,Growthfactor,RecoveryRate,DeathRate and TestPositivityRate across all lockdowns
Description :

  • Tests/Million - Number of tests performed on a million population
  • Growthfactor - Average growth of confirmeed cases on a day by day basis
  • RecoveryRate - Number of people recovered on Number of people with covid
  • DeathRate - Number of people dead on Number of people with covid
  • TestPositivityRate - Number of tests positive on total number of tests

All the values are calculated by finding the differnce between start date and end date of lockdown